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Rubio outperforms Vance in hypothetical 2028 match-ups against Newsom, Harris and AOC: poll 

NY Post Published Aug 21, 2026 Reviewed Aug 21, 2026 ✓ Reviewed by citations.press editors
Rubio outperforms Vance in hypothetical 2028 match-ups against Newsom, Harris and AOC: poll 
Secretary of State Marco Rubio garners 48% support against former Vice President Kamala Harris's 43% in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
48 % · Marco Rubio's support43 % · Kamala Harris's support Emerson College National Poll, pollster
Vice President JD Vance bests Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by 46%-44% in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
46 % · JD Vance's support44 % · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's support Emerson College National Poll, pollster
California Gov. Gavin Newsom nets 49% support in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up against Vice President JD Vance, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
49 % · Gavin Newsom's support Emerson College National Poll, pollster
California Gov. Gavin Newsom nets 48% support in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up against Secretary of State Marco Rubio, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
48 % · Gavin Newsom's support Emerson College National Poll, pollster
Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a 3-point edge over Secretary of State Marco Rubio in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up, with Ossoff at 47% and Rubio at 44%, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
47 % · Jon Ossoff's support44 % · Marco Rubio's support3 percentage points · Jon Ossoff's lead Emerson College National Poll, pollster
Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a 5-point advantage against Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up, with Ossoff at 49% and Vance at 44%, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
49 % · Jon Ossoff's support44 % · JD Vance's support5 percentage points · Jon Ossoff's lead Emerson College National Poll, pollster
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio by a 49%-44% margin in a hypothetical 2028 presidential match-up, according to the Emerson College National Poll.
49 % · Pete Buttigieg's support44 % · Marco Rubio's support Emerson College National Poll, pollster
The Emerson College survey included 1,000 registered voters, was conducted between August 16-17, and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
1000 voters · registered voters3 percentage points · margin of error Emerson College, pollster

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio outperforms Vice President JD Vance in three hypothetical 2028 presidential match-ups against some of the top-polling Democrats, according to a survey released Thursday.

Pitted against former Vice President Kamala Harris and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Rubio tops both by the same 48%-43%, the Emerson College National Poll showed. 

Meanwhile, Vance bests the “Squad” congresswoman 46%-44% but comes up short against the failed 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by 4 percentage points. 

In a head-to-head presidential race against California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Rubio garners 46% to Vance’s 44% backing – but both Republicans trail the term-limited Golden State governor, who nets 49% support against the vice president and 48% against the secretary of state. 

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) are the strongest performing Democrats when put up against the two Trump administration officials. 

Ossoff, who made headlines over the weekend for insinuating President Trump and White House aide Natalie Harp were romantically entangled, holds a 3-point edge over Rubio (47%-44%) and a 5-point advantage against Vance (49%-44%). 

Buttigieg, who has recently campaigned with several Dems in key 2026 midterm races, is ahead of both Republicans by a 49%-44% margin. 

The Emerson College survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted between Aug. 16-17 and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points. 

Earlier this month, the Washington Post reported that Trump has privately told donors that “at the end of the day, we need to elect JD” in 2028.  

The president later dismissed the report, telling reporters in the Oval Office that he thinks Vance is “great” but that it’s “way too early to even be thinking about” making an endorsement. 

Trump has previously suggested Vance and Rubio should run as a ticket, referring to the duo as the “dream team.”

However, Trump has not said which should be the one seeking the presidency.

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