“Crowley is favored in prediction markets, having a 75 percent chance of winning on Kalshi and a 78 percent chance on Polymarket as of Tuesday morning.”
“Aggregated Kalshi and Polymarket pricing on Tuesday had the Fed holding in September at 54.2% and hiking a quarter point at 44.6%, with a larger hike at 4.5% and a cut at 1.5%.”
