NRCC analysis

“Blakeman won re-election as Nassau County executive last year by an impressive 11 percentage points after winning 50.3% of the vote in 2021.”

“Despite winning statewide by 6.4 percentage points in 2022, Hochul lost to former Long Island Rep Lee Zeldin by 8.5 points in District 3 and by 5.8 points in District 4, the GOP analysis noted.”

“Hochul lost District 17 to Zeldin by 3.2 percentage points in 2022.”

“Lawler won re-election by 6 percentage points in 2024 after toppling ex-Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney in a squeaker in 2022.”

“Oberacker’s state Senate district makes up 37% of NY-19, which the GOP claims gives him a shot to win the seat, according to the NRCC analysis.”

“Hochul leads Blakeman 52% to 32% in the horse race for governor.”