Sir John Curtice

“Support for Labour rose by seven points after Gordon Brown replaced Tony Blair in 2007”

“the Conservatives enjoyed a six-point bounce when Boris Johnson took over from Theresa May in 2019”

“The 19% at which Labour stood when Sir Keir resigned was the lowest poll rating passed on by any prime minister departing mid-term – even lower than the 23% bequeathed by Liz Truss when she resigned …”

“Labour's 47% share of the first preference vote was well down on the 63% that Andy Burnham secured in the last mayoral contest”

“Labour's 47% share was nearly double the 24% that Labour registered across the region in May's local elections”

“four points up on Labour's tally locally in the 2024 general election”

“Immediately before Farage's announcement, Reform's average poll rating stood at 27%. In the polls conducted immediately after Farage's announcement, it fell by three points to 24%”

“Reform's share of the first preference vote was nine point down on its tally across the region in May's local elections”

“Restore Britain, who won nearly 9% of the Manchester vote, outpolling the Conservatives”

“The Greens' current 11% tally is as much as four points adrift of where it was when Sir Keir announced he was leaving”

“When he resigned, 14% of Labour's 2024 election voters said they would now back the Greens. That figure is now 9%”

“Overall, 67% of those who voted Labour in 2024 now say they would vote for the party, compared to 57% when Sir Keir indicated he was leaving Downing Street”

“Kemi Badenoch's party has edged up to 20% in the polls for the first time since last spring”

“the (relatively low) 35% it won at the 2024 general election”

“rating of 19% in late June when Sir Keir Starmer announced he was standing down”