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Would you choose £50,000 over the chance of £1m?

BBC Published Jul 26, 2026 Reviewed Jul 27, 2026 ✓ Reviewed by citations.press editors
Would you choose £50,000 over the chance of £1m?
In a YouGov survey of 4,600 UK adults, 73% said they would take an immediate £50,000 instead of a 50/50 chance of £1 million.
73 % · UK adults surveyed by YouGov
In a YouGov survey, 82% of women chose the guaranteed £50,000 over a 50/50 chance of £1 million, compared with 63% of men.
82 % · women surveyed by YouGov63 % · men surveyed by YouGov
According to official UK statistics, £50,000 is £10,000 more than the median average annual earnings for full-time workers.
10000 GBP · median average annual earnings for full-time UK workers
In a YouGov survey, 28% of 18- to 24-year-olds chose the 50/50 chance of £1 million, compared with 11% of those aged 65 and over.
28 % · 18- to 24-year-olds surveyed by YouGov11 % · people aged 65 and over surveyed by YouGov
According to Sarah Coles of AJ Bell, you would have needed to invest £50,000 in a typical global fund just under 38 years ago for it to be worth £1 million today.
at least 38 years · investment horizon required for £50,000 to grow to £1,000,000 in a typical global fund

You have the choice of instantly receiving £50,000 or flipping a coin for a 50/50 chance of £1m.

The vast majority decide on taking the £50k, according to a survey of thousands of people by YouGov. Women voted 82% in favour of the guaranteed cash.

The poll has sparked a debate about why Brits appear more risk-averse than people in the US.

Sadly, there is little chance of ever having such a choice, but there are some interesting lessons for how we manage our money nonetheless.

Nearly three-quarters (73%) of the 4,600 adults asked in the survey said they would take the £50,000 now.

Just over a fifth (21%) went for the chance of £1m and, 6% of those asked sat on the fence and simply couldn't decide.

The gender split in the results is striking. Some 82% of women opted for the £50,000, compared with 63% of men.

Lots of people might opt for the £50,000 guarantee, deciding that it is a life-changing amount of money in itself.

After all, it is £10,000 more than the median average earnings for full-time workers in the UK for an entire year, according to official statistics, external.

But younger people generally earn less and yet, according to this survey, external, those aged 18 to 24 are more willing to take the bet on £1m than any other age group.

Some 28% go for the coin flip, compared with just 11% among the over-65s - their grandparents' generation.

There is a different tipping point for everyone. Repeat the survey but instead guarantee £5 or offer a 50/50 chance for a £100, and most people will probably go for the £100 bet. After all, lots of people bet at least £2 a week hoping for a National Lottery win.

As those amounts rise, so your appetite for risk becomes clear.

One choice is to take the guaranteed £50,000 and hope it grows over time.

Saving the money would be helped by the magic of compound interest.

Alternatively, you could take more of a risk, but potentially with greater reward, by investing the money.

What has happened in the past will not necessarily happen in the future when it comes to investments.

But you'd have had to have invested your £50,000 in a typical global fund just under 38 years ago for it to be worth £1m today, according to Sarah Coles, of investment firm AJ Bell.

We are hardwired, says Coles, to go for the guaranteed £50,000.

That's because we feel losses more acutely than gains, she says.

"The thrill of potentially winning £1m is felt less strongly than the fear of giving up a guaranteed £50,000 and ending up with nothing," she says.

In other words, having £50k and knowing you might have won £1m will play on your mind.

But it is not as bad as having a crack at £1m and knowing you've given up enough for an average deposit to buy a home in the West Midlands, external.

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